AI · resolved market
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de1a705488234aeb80ac36e158e7539616d4d02014bfbf233a6214e3623fd17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed No | 12c | 59,948$6,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,966.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec8…3b24backed No | 16c | 26,989$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…2031backed No | 15c | 20,096$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed No | 11c | 19,525$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…ee98backed No | 16c | 16,002$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed No | 0c | 14,212$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed No | 8c | 12,205$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 15c | 10,727$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.59 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0eb2backed No | 0c | 9,530$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaa…94e5backed No | 10c | 7,508$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…74d7backed No | 14c | 7,024$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 20c | 6,827$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.73 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0d…e3f9backed No | 1c | 6,750$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…e15cbacked No | 8c | 6,566$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…01bfbacked No | 5c | 4,176$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.23 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…8ea8backed Yes | 80c | 3,525$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 23c | 3,279$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.93 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -67%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 77c | 3,164$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…e3dfbacked No | 8c | 3,154$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed No | 13c | 3,037$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…fb27backed No | 11c | 2,602$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…10eabacked No | 19c | 2,600$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 19c | 2,596$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.69 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…c47abacked No | 9c | 2,591$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e051backed No | 5c | 2,344$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…ed03backed No | 9c | 2,270$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…77f5backed No | 12c | 2,203$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ceedbacked No | 12c | 2,184$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 13c | 2,174$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.43 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fd…29e4backed No | 12c | 2,087$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed No | 18c | 2,083$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.54 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…f3c4backed Yes | 79c | 2,041$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…b2b8backed No | 13c | 1,936$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…2934backed No | 15c | 1,594$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…6133backed No | 13c | 1,543$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 10c | 1,508$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 70c | 1,505$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.31 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed No | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6645…f1fcbacked No | 21c | 1,481$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65db…cd87backed No | 1c | 1,443$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…f060backed Yes | 79c | 1,434$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…9affbacked No | 10c | 1,424$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed No | 11c | 1,368$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…35b6backed No | 10c | 1,300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11a…29f0backed No | 11c | 1,236$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…82afbacked No | 18c | 1,220$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed Yes | 73c | 1,209$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 22c | 1,206$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…13f2backed No | 11c | 1,202$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2070…2c28backed No | 8c | 1,186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…4fa1backed No | 17c | 1,152$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d38…bdeabacked No | 9c | 1,081$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8841…0614backed No | 16c | 1,060$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1463…ce78backed No | 3c | 1,059$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8e…4c8fbacked No | 10c | 1,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…38a0backed No | 15c | 1,043$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…403bbacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked No | 26c | 959.11$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked No | 26c | 958.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked No | 19c | 906.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…557cbacked No | 11c | 857.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 11c | 845.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…93f8backed No | 7c | 827.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…24cbbacked No | 2c | 825.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 11c | 819.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…8d86backed No | 12c | 818.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 13c | 813.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…2778backed No | 14c | 812.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…efdbbacked No | 2c | 810.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…0725backed No | 18c | 804.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…5fa1backed No | 12c | 800.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…67babacked No | 3c | 788.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…cbc8backed No | 10c | 769.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…5f72backed No | 16c | 751.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…999fbacked No | 34c | 743.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked No | 14c | 737.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…2b39backed No | 14c | 723.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544b…fb12backed No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 22c | 700$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…057abacked No | 12c | 680$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…3efabacked No | 12c | 670$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 10c | 667$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed Yes | 61c | 650.54$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…5fdcbacked No | 12c | 641.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…90c9backed No | 13c | 636.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…fd84backed No | 16c | 627.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 9c | 622.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…8299backed No | 10c | 620$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…88dfbacked No | 18c | 612.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…a02abacked No | 19c | 611.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…847ebacked No | 10c | 608.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…f600backed No | 10c | 600.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…8f10backed Yes | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 74c | 600$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…336cbacked No | 9c | 600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6bf7backed No | 18c | 592.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 78c | 580$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 56c | 578.8$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.5 released by April 19, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.