AI · resolved market
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f461cb384aa6289cc3b216ac9916b12a0dd90eccb46b198158507df81944a0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd058…c532backed Yes | 54c | 54,500$29,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,085 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…d07abacked No | 46c | 54,500$25,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,085 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…ee98backed No | 4c | 20,235$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed No | 12c | 14,580$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff9…359bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 77c | 7,511$5,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.02 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…2031backed No | 7c | 5,546$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…77f5backed No | 4c | 5,249$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec8…3b24backed No | 12c | 4,716$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 31c | 4,021$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 11c | 3,998$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…e15cbacked No | 5c | 3,643$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed No | 17c | 3,489$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.64 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 5c | 3,323$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…4d17backed Yes | 72c | 3,247$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.39 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 76c | 3,032$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.46 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6645…f1fcbacked No | 12c | 2,876$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed No | 8c | 2,570$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,384$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…42b7backed Yes | 75c | 2,314$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 51c | 2,186$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.45 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 9c | 2,118$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a98…c274backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 5c | 1,916$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 77c | 1,797$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…e3dfbacked No | 3c | 1,697$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…057abacked No | 7c | 1,677$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…67debacked No | 24c | 1,564$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,393$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.75 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 4c | 1,287$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 9c | 1,257$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 1,249$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 8c | 1,246$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 27c | 1,156$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 19c | 1,058$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 47c | 955.62$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.52 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed No | 57c | 877.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 17c | 859.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12db…7275backed No | 6c | 840$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 740.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed No | 2c | 720.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…f405backed No | 7c | 682.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…f10bbacked No | 2c | 649$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 16c | 644.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -67%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 18c | 639.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…738dbacked No | 3c | 603.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked No | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…6133backed No | 37c | 585.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…8016backed No | 30c | 543.54$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 10c | 509$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc3…1ecabacked No | 2c | 466.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 59c | 443.18$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…24a9backed No | 7c | 432.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…2411backed Yes | 62c | 429.94$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…a02abacked No | 8c | 427.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 411.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 4c | 402.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…e630backed Yes | 78c | 400$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384e…cf8cbacked No | 5c | 388.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 13c | 381.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 75c | 370.92$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…7a41backed No | 15c | 342.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…19eebacked No | 58c | 342.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked No | 17c | 341.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 28c | 338.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…5af6backed No | 3c | 337.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…fdbbbacked No | 59c | 331.59$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986e…cb49backed No | 3c | 324.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…1db9backed No | 47c | 316.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0c…d930backed No | 32c | 310.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…a647backed No | 16c | 303.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 29c | 302.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…7058backed No | 6c | 302.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…82afbacked No | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…501dbacked No | 7c | 273.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b21…4fa9backed No | 6c | 272.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 266.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…7bd0backed Yes | 46c | 258.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…3637backed No | 10c | 253.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 52c | 252.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed No | 34c | 251.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 64c | 250$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Yes | 78c | 236.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…3685backed No | 44c | 228.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…60b6backed No | 35c | 215.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 60c | 215.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…8f10backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -92.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…9156backed Yes | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked No | 9c | 195.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 70c | 195.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…b994backed No | 8c | 192.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…08fcbacked No | 21c | 184.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?this page
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.5 released by April 19, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?No won
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes won
- GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.