TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3287…7058

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 53 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+228.4%+$274.12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$188.24
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+556.1%+$556.11
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-30.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$223.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.