Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x852fcfca1dfa1372b768aa6df2269d20564378bb6fe9c64bba3bc040370c1efd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,836,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,525,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,836,503 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xefb8…c8e1backed Yes	14c	333,625$48,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,262.17	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes	14c	246,500$34,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,944.28	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+10.6wins	+0.18per pick	31cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	34c	145,091$49,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,330.79	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…2a10backed Yes	32c	142,605$45,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,910.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	33c	142,126$46,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,933	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed No	69c	113,708$78,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,736.18	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+3.3wins	+0.23per pick	41cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes	29c	109,899$31,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,495.93	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+26%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	22c	96,079$20,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,995.72	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	22c	88,250$19,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,847.16	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes	16c	86,886$13,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,941.45	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+3.3wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+77.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x893a…29dcbacked Yes	22c	80,678$17,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,500	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	25c	79,019$19,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,673.9	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-62%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes	20c	64,081$12,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,948.79	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…fd24backed Yes	23c	62,114$14,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,015	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	21c	59,682$12,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,822.87	291	36.8%107 W · 184 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe818…4bb3backed Yes	17c	57,204$9,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,769.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c1…d177backed Yes	25c	56,553$14,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,307.94	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes	23c	55,063$12,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,391.35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes	30c	53,883$16,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,228.24	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	12c	50,153$5,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,995.72	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes	21c	47,827$10,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,123.95	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes	26c	47,659$12,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,232.23	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	7c	45,796$3,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,189	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafad…cea8backed Yes	25c	45,739$11,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,465.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes	22c	43,805$9,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,637	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	30c	43,724$13,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,173.27	298	46.3%138 W · 160 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Yes	22c	42,843$9,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,425.41	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc841…6fcfbacked Yes	21c	41,822$8,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,799.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa0…e79bbacked Yes	16c	41,257$6,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,403.03	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes	11c	36,333$3,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,946.06	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	21c	34,929$7,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,256.85	135	38.5%52 W · 83 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	27c	32,608$8,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,668.26	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes	22c	32,123$6,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,993.14	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+5.7wins	+0.25per pick	49cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Yes	18c	31,056$5,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,689.66	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2497…e26abacked Yes	17c	29,411$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.87	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked Yes	15c	28,917$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66cc…e4b4backed Yes	34c	25,300$8,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,483.01	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No	68c	24,900$16,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,967.95	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.22per pick	43cpaid	+44%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Yes	32c	24,541$7,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,853.06	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Yes	30c	24,000$7,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,160	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+79.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes	17c	23,915$4,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,004.81	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6a…c123backed Yes	16c	21,868$3,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,498.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes	16c	20,912$3,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,285.51	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Yes	30c	20,481$6,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,191.06	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3693…d79ebacked Yes	9c	19,918$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,743.43	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed No	79c	19,300$15,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,022.99	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9c5…f860backed Yes	30c	19,052$5,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,741.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes	11c	18,847$2,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,073.16	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7acebacked Yes	1c	18,604$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.62	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes	15c	17,425$2,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,613.81	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes	33c	15,152$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	12c	15,070$1,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,788.55	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	24c	14,599$3,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,547.99	272	36.4%99 W · 173 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes	18c	13,900$2,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,502	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8675…469ebacked Yes	17c	13,853$2,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,355	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes	24c	13,843$3,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,264.08	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	22c	13,598$3,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,001.38	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	+11.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes	1c	13,123$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.73	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No	77c	12,852$9,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,019.33	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.35per pick	40cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	7c	12,839$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.71	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	2c	12,308$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.47	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	2c	12,206$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.79	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+420.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes	18c	12,164$2,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,187.42	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes	36c	12,100$4,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,306	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Yes	32c	12,012$3,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,843.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes	19c	11,749$2,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,243.68	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	9c	11,516$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	12c	11,362$1,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.13	102	37.3%38 W · 64 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes	31c	11,290$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes	22c	11,028$2,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,464.85	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…1284backed Yes	17c	10,777$1,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,832.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadd…2564backed Yes	10c	10,567$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes	32c	10,313$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+91.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	30c	10,280$3,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,036.39	97	57.7%56 W · 41 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes	4c	10,034$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.72	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+363.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3710…2b8dbacked Yes	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0356…11a8backed Yes	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04cd…7122backed Yes	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes	30c	10,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.29per pick	37cpaid	-86.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	17c	10,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	57	22.8%13 W · 44 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes	26c	10,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7357…22c6backed Yes	17c	10,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes	12c	9,936$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.3	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	27cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	9,870$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.06	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d66…9670backed Yes	36c	9,744$3,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,507.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	72c	9,705$6,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,759.51	285	43.9%125 W · 160 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes	10c	9,661$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18d…f783backed Yes	11c	9,500$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x745c…15fcbacked Yes	37c	9,470$3,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,488.74	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	32cpaid	+123.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3753…dc42backed Yes	33c	9,394$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes	10c	9,110$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.98	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes	18c	9,063$1,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,673.34	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No	63c	8,902$5,608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,293.75	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8edf…7eadbacked Yes	22c	8,889$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	21c	8,783$1,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.31	74	63.5%47 W · 27 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa00…5340backed Yes	23c	8,700$1,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,986.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae1…f52fbacked Yes	16c	8,653$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	7c	8,603$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.93	105	43.8%46 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Yes	35c	8,571$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+508.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4424…4cc6backed Yes	2c	8,474$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.35	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event