TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,756,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,852,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,756,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c900,996$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.99166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x593f…9f89backed Yes0c529,874$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.87303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes0c339,578$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.58205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c319,111$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7611916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c288,525$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.572828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea0a…959bbacked Yes0c263,950$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fa…6b56backed Yes0c253,169$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e4…490cbacked Yes0c250,723$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6a…cd89backed Yes0c246,552$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x515a…e476backed Yes0c245,038$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe3…81f2backed Yes0c243,393$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f3…4642backed Yes0c242,753$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c9…ef86backed Yes0c241,393$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e1…a753backed Yes0c240,252$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f40…366ebacked Yes0c237,157$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes0c232,061$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8355…d1bebacked Yes0c221,292$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c195,999$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes0c185,367$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.73313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8652…3ce4backed Yes0c153,769$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e7…6602backed Yes0c151,514$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c131,786$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5710419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c130,664$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7812921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61e…794cbacked Yes0c121,225$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ba…f38bbacked Yes0c115,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes0c100,000$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1663831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf041…034abacked Yes0c91,188$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.38150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c80,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c79,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c79,783$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.575512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c74,996$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd936…9af9backed Yes0c70,515$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.03160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…0395backed Yes0c70,070$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c70,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb395…0a61backed Yes0c64,500$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes0c62,899$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes0c62,076$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.15150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c60,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb194…40e1backed Yes0c60,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c60,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7471…a6dabacked Yes0c59,971$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes0c52,080$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.08160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c52,056$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.11160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb790…8e37backed Yes0c51,667$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6b…3681backed Yes0c50,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c50,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e65…6c95backed Yes0c50,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d2…034bbacked Yes0c50,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes0c49,999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1a…3501backed Yes0c49,999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c47,034$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.07160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Yes0c42,350$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.051741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c42,307$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.77160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes0c41,921$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c41,406$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-88.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a42…d013backed Yes0c40,333$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1115…83f5backed Yes0c40,161$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c40,137$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.27150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c40,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d699backed Yes0c40,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c39,214$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.69160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b17…7990backed Yes0c37,356$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97b…0e07backed Yes0c36,667$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d3…891ebacked Yes0c34,372$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.62150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes0c33,259$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.52150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4828…b63bbacked Yes0c30,129$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d1…7438backed Yes0c30,069$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.11150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…2a24backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes0c30,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes0c29,999$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes0c29,739$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…02a5backed Yes0c29,578$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.16130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf25b…2584backed Yes0c28,500$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8225…162fbacked Yes0c27,935$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d8…7750backed Yes0c25,088$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d8…7853backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c25,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes0c24,622$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.93150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda09…4852backed Yes0c22,264$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c21,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b91…2041backed Yes0c20,493$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a5c…b80abacked Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce0…ec61backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…46c7backed Yes0c18,062$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.06140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Yes0c17,400$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes0c17,324$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1986…6c4dbacked Yes0c17,291$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a1…d7adbacked Yes0c17,190$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fa…7af0backed Yes0c16,980$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.98120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes0c15,760$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes0c14,363$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5efb…c22abacked Yes0c14,168$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.25140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…3015backed Yes0c14,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d2a…f8e1backed Yes0c11,750$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfe…97d8backed Yes0c11,133$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf728…6552backed Yes0c10,321$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9175…41b2backed Yes0c10,147$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8673…92debacked Yes0c10,124$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309230.4%28 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.