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Champions League · resolved market

Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,496,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,496,613 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c1,179,688$6,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,426.6611916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes0c400,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80029136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c229,807$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.9710419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c221,634$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.412520%5 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+156.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c197,488$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.866817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes1c154,444$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.22911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460b…a326backed Yes1c150,985$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.5740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c145,183$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.53229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bff…7291backed Yes1c144,868$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.6370%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d14…dbd4backed Yes1c141,778$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d8…2643backed Yes1c137,275$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.390%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c136,137$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.0517322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759f…9954backed Yes1c126,906$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.1190%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes1c125,637$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159a…27c7backed Yes1c125,610$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.2480%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes1c112,786$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.931526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ca…ed14backed Yes1c103,347$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.6440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c102,599$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.675512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…3185backed Yes1c97,368$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.4980%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4284…9f44backed Yes1c96,162$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bb…e491backed Yes1c91,786$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.3990%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd217…3487backed Yes1c90,467$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.5940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes1c90,082$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.78458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes1c87,896$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.335625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31c8…678ebacked Yes1c82,075$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.2570%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x653d…5e2abacked Yes1c78,137$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.5640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes1c75,695$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.17120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes0c75,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…708ebacked Yes1c74,191$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5990%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…0facbacked Yes1c73,135$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8980%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee2b…bc24backed Yes1c72,140$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3450%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…46c7backed Yes1c63,610$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.26140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd608…fcd1backed Yes1c62,728$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.7390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ea…5800backed Yes1c60,862$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.96130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9126…fb8cbacked Yes1c60,641$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fa…7af0backed Yes1c59,430$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.11120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd669…46ecbacked Yes1c57,036$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.221315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes1c55,435$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.31120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0744…9499backed Yes1c55,225$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1790%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…16d9backed Yes0c55,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c54,268$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.34160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes0c53,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes0c53,118$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.47205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1094…9ef7backed Yes1c52,614$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2690%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes0c52,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156214.8%1 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8842…ca90backed Yes1c50,967$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9377…8484backed Yes1c50,550$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7d…78e4backed Yes0c50,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c48,792$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.76150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2d…4076backed Yes1c47,321$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1190%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be1…2bc1backed Yes1c46,252$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc795…4e05backed Yes1c46,208$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04dc…9503backed Yes1c45,595$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc6b…8343backed Yes1c45,212$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9d…8c23backed Yes1c44,914$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b2…4e3cbacked Yes1c44,824$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0f…3dadbacked Yes1c44,272$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e6…ae34backed Yes1c42,918$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Yes1c42,690$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c42,623$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.67160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c42,141$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e5…0f52backed Yes1c42,055$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e8…7891backed Yes1c40,720$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…19e7backed Yes1c40,600$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ddd…8e31backed Yes1c40,400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5890…9cd7backed Yes1c40,160$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6350…c0e3backed Yes1c40,100$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d7…ebd2backed Yes1c40,100$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b0…9130backed Yes1c40,049$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a00…13acbacked Yes1c40,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2582…bffabacked Yes1c39,973$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe721…21a4backed Yes1c39,920$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27f…f4dbbacked Yes1c39,800$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf296…c3a2backed Yes1c38,341$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceeb…e1b7backed Yes1c36,345$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c36,213$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6112921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d2…034bbacked Yes0c35,958$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.62150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9804…7712backed Yes1c35,143$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e78…8bdfbacked Yes1c34,624$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2324…2b86backed Yes1c34,200$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.693122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c33,602$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.57160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda09…4852backed Yes0c33,396$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.85160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf48…6f13backed Yes1c33,389$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.33128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3b…5eafbacked Yes1c33,277$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.890%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c33,000$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1f…03d6backed Yes1c30,744$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c30,365$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9628743.9%126 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c30,147$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.99160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9175…41b2backed Yes0c30,115$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.43130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes0c30,008$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.045722.8%13 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c30,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb194…40e1backed Yes0c30,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes0c30,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c29,982$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.15160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df7…450bbacked Yes1c29,842$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c29,647$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ce…9de8backed Yes0c29,136$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdde…c019backed Yes1c28,987$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6085…8ec3backed Yes1c27,285$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes0c26,671$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.68150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.