TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,427,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,427,836 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes4c320,134$11,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,567.7811916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes4c102,590$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.334628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes1c97,945$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.611338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick24cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes4c93,376$4,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,058.641717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes5c71,798$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.622025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes3c69,994$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.885722.8%13 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes4c68,778$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.682516%4 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes2c54,797$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.3417322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes3c53,430$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.365939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes3c47,389$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.913048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes1c45,788$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7329136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c42,811$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.357924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes4c41,827$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.19156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes3c41,098$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.151850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d64…738ebacked Yes4c39,809$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.77128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes5c37,712$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.9100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes4c37,065$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.912313%3 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c35,904$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.2528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd669…46ecbacked Yes2c32,493$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.821315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes3c31,928$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.612520%5 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+156.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bbb…3ddfbacked Yes3c30,120$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes5c30,024$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.6617560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes3c28,539$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.35229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes4c28,100$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.59214.8%1 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c5…61a7backed Yes4c25,169$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes1c24,988$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes4c24,365$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.89137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked Yes1c23,554$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.881010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-86.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…63c1backed Yes5c21,755$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes3c20,915$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.554443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes5c20,147$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.387429.7%22 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes3c20,000$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.629343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c97…0e8ebacked Yes3c16,000$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6702…ee6dbacked Yes4c15,722$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes5c15,000$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6982010%2 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f95…e0eabacked Yes3c14,773$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes6c14,400$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.993650%18 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…4c9ebacked Yes2c14,298$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd5…aa9ebacked Yes5c13,933$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes4c13,731$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5610419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes6c13,586$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.15825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-53.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes4c12,684$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9a…a377backed Yes4c12,565$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.04633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick15cpaid-18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes4c12,371$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.246817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Yes6c11,500$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes3c11,111$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.611030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ff…29b5backed Yes3c11,084$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-79.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes4c10,921$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8511743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes3c10,489$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.592416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes1c10,380$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143020%6 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes4c10,285$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.13254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c4…b517backed Yes4c10,217$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes1c10,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes3c10,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes4c10,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56f…06dabacked Yes5c9,433$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes5c9,396$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4985349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes5c9,275$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4312921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes4c9,197$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.9470%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3b…acd3backed Yes4c9,133$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.46616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick6cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes4c9,116$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.195525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes4c8,975$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.151040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes4c8,885$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.69333%1 W · 32 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes6c8,851$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.573828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd733…571abacked Yes5c8,758$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…9593backed Yes4c8,600$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Yes3c8,229$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes3c8,178$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.82313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2589…ebd2backed Yes6c8,132$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes4c8,030$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.841442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes4c7,800$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.310237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…b881backed Yes3c7,793$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x593f…9f89backed Yes4c7,637$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.82303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes4c7,577$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5205%1 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8469…f3aebacked Yes4c7,558$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.77119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-79.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f9f…dc72backed Yes3c7,373$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2324…2b86backed Yes5c7,332$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.533122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4723…b601backed Yes1c7,143$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes3c6,983$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4812036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7655…1fa8backed Yes1c6,919$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.331118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c19…94f5backed Yes5c6,691$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5860%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ae…7c03backed Yes3c6,600$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes5c6,590$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.675040%20 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes4c6,545$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.894119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes4c6,486$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.88110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9626…282bbacked Yes1c6,475$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b2…caf1backed Yes1c6,475$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes6c6,433$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.271118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+404.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a9…5225backed Yes3c6,361$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-63.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe126…56babacked Yes4c6,305$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207e…afe6backed Yes5c6,278$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes1c6,133$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes4c6,098$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.97205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1851…6b39backed Yes5c6,037$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes4c6,000$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2642927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0585…1de9backed Yes4c6,000$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac57…86c5backed Yes1c5,904$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.