TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8bbb…3ddf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.58
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$672.55
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$309.51
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.94
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.55
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$44.63
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.69
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$57.27
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$13.52
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.61
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.03
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.93
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$32.3
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+183.3%+$35.33
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.48
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.51
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$62.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$87.4
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$153.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.