TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$669,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$683,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 728 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes55c287,450$157,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,463.6321343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No45c199,999$90,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,999.5516331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No46c149,999$68,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,999.2710740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Yes51c66,593$33,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,870.238047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No51c51,169$26,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,107.8614325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes55c28,849$15,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,956.952,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed Yes54c27,778$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No45c26,982$12,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,840.3219252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes56c24,208$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,5006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No45c22,521$10,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,386.5321836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c15,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,25074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No44c12,878$5,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,212.0453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes31c11,436$3,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.342,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes32c10,050$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,21615843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked No46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x854a…5e9ebacked Yes54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+464.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd73…97cdbacked Yes54c7,037$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed No45c6,500$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5759525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…9b1ebacked No74c6,426$4,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.131533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No42c5,855$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,424.5937959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No45c5,315$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.162,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes53c4,054$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes50c3,688$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9915950.9%81 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4315…1c64backed Yes69c3,231$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No45c2,967$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.2834357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes55c2,875$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58122643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked Yes54c2,754$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.281952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes58c2,568$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No43c2,268$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.233350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5910…b0d6backed Yes54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No45c2,136$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.7570750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No45c2,132$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6632765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Yes54c2,129$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes47c2,116$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed No47c2,102$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.894740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No46c2,084$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.2912241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed No42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1604141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9731171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x930b…2479backed Yes54c1,926$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.032733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked No46c1,867$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.9116050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes55c1,828$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c2…7b5abacked Yes47c1,671$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No47c1,654$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.8111440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ae…809abacked Yes55c1,636$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No46c1,622$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.791,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes54c1,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67511642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes50c1,239$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.95127.5%14 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Yes54c1,150$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.913966.7%26 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x722b…c68bbacked No47c1,136$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.171747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009943.4%43 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd926…1028backed Yes55c1,075$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf19…f36fbacked No46c1,063$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes54c1,055$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.687538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb35…ed57backed Yes55c1,017$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.371833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13db…66d6backed No48c1,010$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes54c1,001$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5314226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54023729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No47c1,000$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.8525038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed No65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35016152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Yes54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.992572%18 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37024533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No46c999.95$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.977552%39 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No46c999.93$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.966543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c5…610fbacked Yes32c947.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked No47c932.15$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.688348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9c…aab6backed Yes54c911.52$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2250%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked Yes55c890$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.510019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked No47c850$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.510945%49 W · 60 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c841.53$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.382,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c27…f2aabacked No61c825.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.214637.7%55 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfa3…bd55backed Yes31c800$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2471233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No44c799.99$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9915740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes55c781.82$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4307058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fab…9195backed Yes55c739.91$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No47c734.88$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.52,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c9…2687backed Yes54c734.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Yes54c718.86$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed No47c653.16$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.941553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No42c648.25$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.9916564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac8…8fc4backed Yes54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e7…8c47backed No47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.33256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No51c612.41$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.513545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd879…d744backed No47c609.04$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.63450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed No46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3245841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fa…4ba6backed Yes45c598.48$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0840…cb52backed Yes43c578.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes54c574.07$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3109530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c6…6060backed No53c566.49$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.842832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.