Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f8ee3237ada5590bc3d7d88b73d73d6a36c916aa7b24212313b8b18edafd3e4

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,335 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x108d…b85dbacked No	74c	6,666$4,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,734.88	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No	67c	5,845$3,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,937.39	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	67c	5,587$3,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,843.56	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	26c	5,337$1,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,387.51	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes	33c	4,287$1,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,423	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed No	71c	4,071$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,190.51	144	49.3%71 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes	31c	2,515$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	33c	1,249$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.61	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes	33c	909.09$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	264	38.6%102 W · 162 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	71c	764.15$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.27	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e4…6a31backed Yes	33c	733.33$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes	29c	672.41$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Yes	30c	566.67$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	26c	553.23$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.84	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	76c	481.27$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.28	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be3…6566backed Yes	33c	454.55$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes	23c	436.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Yes	26c	435.85$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.32	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Yes	29c	429.04$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	172	41.3%71 W · 101 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes	30c	350$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Yes	28c	349.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	193	24.9%48 W · 145 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	29%36 W · 88 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes	33c	295.61$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.55	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Yes	32c	250$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	108	41.7%45 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd1…f68cbacked Yes	33c	243.88$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.48	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No	68c	240.65$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.01	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed No	67c	199.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Yes	30c	192.03$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.61	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc9cf…a08abacked Yes	20c	157.25$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.45	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	33c	157$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.81	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed No	69c	137.99$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.99	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedbf…3eeabacked Yes	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	235	44.7%105 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes	29c	119$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.51	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes	29c	117.24$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	122	37.7%46 W · 76 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes	33c	109.09$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	228	24.6%56 W · 172 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090d…8265backed Yes	33c	106.06$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	80	13.8%11 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	67c	99.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed No	68c	99.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4068…f40cbacked Yes	33c	90.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0c…bb86backed Yes	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No	68c	81.28$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	254	54.7%139 W · 115 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	78c	76.36$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.68	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8256…af54backed Yes	33c	75.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d42…22a5backed Yes	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	69c	69$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda94…3528backed Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1557…3e6cbacked Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes	34c	64.71$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	142	39.4%56 W · 86 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb84…1e5bbacked Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	115	60%69 W · 46 L	+9.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	73c	56.12$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	29c	51.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	74c	47.52$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.51	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x501c…63c7backed Yes	32c	46.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa15…cd67backed Yes	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	115	26.1%30 W · 85 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Yes	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7099…791bbacked Yes	29c	44.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb795…020cbacked Yes	31c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1141…b2fabacked Yes	33c	39.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x069e…961bbacked Yes	33c	33.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No	66c	29.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.19	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6a8…0f9cbacked No	68c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	67c	24.24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1095…9844backed No	68c	20.59$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.59	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb0…1991backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No	67c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.95	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event