TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedbf…3eea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$223.51
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.38
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.19
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.79
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.89
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Folarin Balogun: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.48
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.26
Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.75
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+541%+$214.22
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.89
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$72.15
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$97.56
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-68.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.86
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.58
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.63
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.39
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.47
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.15
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.3
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.61
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.31
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.38
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.11
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$116.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$31
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.65per pick10cpaid+1,341.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.27
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.