TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09be…9c32backed Yes40c31,859$12,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,740.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes19c14,000$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No64c10,970$7,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.26235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes7c10,352$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.284332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes30c10,032$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.158939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No77c8,781$6,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.673151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No61c8,772$5,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,460.87545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes5c7,210$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.542920.7%6 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c5,562$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.717944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Yes2c3,730$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes15c3,553$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.553716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No75c3,444$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.554946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f9d…ab79backed Yes6c3,365$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-81%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40c6…2941backed Yes2c3,332$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.91020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes9c2,894$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7410020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c2,629$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0410128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes5c2,574$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4211836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c2,530$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.265317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes11c2,255$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes8c2,217$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes8c2,154$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8610652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0780…b0e9backed Yes11c1,830$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes5c1,808$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No69c1,783$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.071361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c6…e1e7backed Yes3c1,723$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Yes2c1,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes4c1,326$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b7…80b6backed Yes14c1,318$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,309$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.09591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes4c1,303$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.65619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes8c1,252$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.367643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes8c1,203$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3524720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes6c1,167$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes2c1,141$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.36829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No56c975.27$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+64%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes4c936.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3215922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdc…fe61backed Yes35c919.91$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes11c915.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-73.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Yes4c903.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes4c828.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8340%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e90…db89backed Yes7c808.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7850%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes11c802$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.448027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes31c783.04$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.069164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1824…fda1backed Yes13c782.41$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.89348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dca…b36bbacked Yes13c769.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…2036backed Yes11c750$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.09728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+35.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes10c717.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.978138.3%31 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a29…90efbacked Yes9c699.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.421833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b82…9ed2backed Yes5c657.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdd…e6a9backed Yes17c596.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-67.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9da…3ef5backed Yes14c571.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+253.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes5c548.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5214429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes46c525.02$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.512015%3 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes4c518.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205714%8 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8a…2953backed Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes7c471$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.991942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes4c466.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c1…16c0backed No56c460.23$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.411957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a80…6b2bbacked Yes13c450$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe379…d124backed Yes4c431.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.95130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes13c425$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.25520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+339.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f60…fd20backed Yes3c410$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-74.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No78c402.14$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02b…80f3backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b5…8136backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c362.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.683766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Yes5c360$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes13c359.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.210837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes5c350.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.581618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes40c338$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.24944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbf…3eeabacked Yes10c330$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e6…6400backed Yes3c320.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes6c317.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-88.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2163…1f5ebacked Yes16c313.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…4073backed Yes4c311.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.083633.3%12 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Yes10c309.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No54c302.42$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.429165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes16c285.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes9c277.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-83.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3483…30b7backed Yes6c258.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b7…d644backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes8c243.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.741827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes5c238.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked Yes40c231.44$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.03633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed No65c230.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa1…3a7ebacked Yes6c216.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1370%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes19c214.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa06e…eba4backed Yes15c213.51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e61…4715backed Yes23c213.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes8c209.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.725635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes10c208$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.89935.4%35 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6657…8e4fbacked No65c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6a…b380backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No55c198.74$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.931770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes9c181$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.296827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2c…97c2backed Yes12c165.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb6…2ea0backed Yes6c164$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes7c152$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54139%16 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.