TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5c6…e1e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick26cpaid-92.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Generali Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Estoril Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Xinyu Gao vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Estoril Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Danielbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Priscilla Hon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Valentina Ryser vs Mai Hontamabacked Valentina Ryser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Nina Radovanovic vs Petra Konjikusicbacked Petra Konjikusic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Elena Malygina vs Lisa Zaarbacked Lisa Zaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Anna Petkovicbacked Anna Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
ITF Torino: Antonia Stoyanov vs Beatrice Riccibacked Beatrice Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Dalila Jakupovic vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Dalila Jakupovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Estoril Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Joao Dinis Silvabacked Joao Dinis Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Luciano Darderibacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Generali Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Julia Grabherbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-82.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Nicolás González: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Michael Olise: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Adrien Rabiot: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Rayan Cherki: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$65.07
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.15
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: IF Elfsborg 1 - 2 IK Sirius?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$140.32
Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: SK Brann O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$35.75
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Molde FK O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Viking FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Sandefjord Fotball O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Viking FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: Lillestrøm SK O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+223.2%+$62.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Houston Rocketsbacked Houston Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Summer League: Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celticsbacked Boston Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$51.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.