NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x164e0135e0acf087beecf0c69420b35b70cd752b0441656ad4bcd9c15ee97825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orlando Magicof Orlando Magic, Boston Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Celtics | 1c | 2,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Boston Celtics | 13c | 1,636$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.67 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Orlando Magic | 56c | 1,556$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.53 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Boston Celtics | 24c | 1,119$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Boston Celtics | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Boston Celtics | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Orlando Magic | 56c | 893.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Boston Celtics | 3c | 749.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Orlando Magic | 43c | 689.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.85 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Orlando Magic | 51c | 629.16$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Boston Celtics | 22c | 586$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Boston Celtics | 13c | 428.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Orlando Magic | 77c | 418.94$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Boston Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Orlando Magic | 78c | 325.01$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Celtics | 33c | 315.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Boston Celtics | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Orlando Magic | 52c | 289.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Celtics | 42c | 282.91$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Celtics | 32c | 280.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Boston Celtics | 13c | 234.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Orlando Magic | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Orlando Magic | 52c | 215.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Celtics | 43c | 206.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Orlando Magic | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Orlando Magic | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Orlando Magic | 71c | 190$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…e1e7backed Boston Celtics | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Boston Celtics | 13c | 185.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 8%10 W · 115 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orlando Magic | 76c | 112.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Celtics | 47c | 106.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Boston Celtics | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Boston Celtics | 47c | 91.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Boston Celtics | 12c | 86.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 249 | 48.2%120 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Orlando Magic | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…d62fbacked Boston Celtics | 48c | 71.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Boston Celtics | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Orlando Magic | 51c | 64.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Boston Celtics | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Boston Celtics | 47c | 57.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Orlando Magic | 73c | 57.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Celtics | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…64b7backed Boston Celtics | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…d9ebbacked Boston Celtics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Boston Celtics | 49c | 37.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Orlando Magic | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Boston Celtics | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Boston Celtics | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Orlando Magic | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Boston Celtics | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Orlando Magic | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Orlando Magic | 53c | 21.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Orlando Magic | 53c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Boston Celtics | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.