Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18ae9032b8ac672c3dc825b766a47c7bb6b0677d3a5300839e5d40b967187b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 3,142$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.8 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 25c | 392.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 26c | 366.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.04 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 358.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 293.57$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 186.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 126.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 112.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 91.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 66.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 28c | 50.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 49.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…e1e7backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 59c | 36.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 75c | 15.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?this page
- Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-07-18?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.