Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf5028eece25383a656f39638393d35ee50d171c5a9cbb969aea0395c7ab0838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 59c | 17,026$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,025.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 3,794$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,250$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 41c | 2,857$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.21 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,596$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.58 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 1,585$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.54 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 1,255$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.47 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed No | 58c | 1,188$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.54 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 11c | 1,179$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 41c | 1,088$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.65 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 38c | 1,049$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 56c | 999.89$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.95 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 985.15$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 795.73$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 58c | 565.78$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.63 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 44c | 455.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 21c | 399.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 28c | 392.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 294.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 65c | 235$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 18c | 225$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…e1e7backed Yes | 11c | 217.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 145.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 66c | 135.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 76c | 134.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 44c | 114.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -9.2wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…7dddbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 20c | 74.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 43c | 71.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 70.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 28c | 67.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 56c | 66.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 41c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 47.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…3c81backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 73c | 35.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Yes | 44c | 34.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 44c | 30.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 41c | 26.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…f4e5backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc4…3955backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 56c | 24.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 45c | 24.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Kristiansund BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.