TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Enzo Fernández: 3+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,560 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c2,479$481 inLost-$480.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf29…e395backed Yes15c2,051$314 inLost-$314.049830.6%30 W · 68 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e20…dd8abacked No80c1,205$964 inWon+$241.041681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+127.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbe02…b9f5backed Yes20c665$133 inLost-$133825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed Yes19c503.79$96 inLost-$95.726650%33 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c6…e1e7backed Yes19c294.74$56 inLost-$562010%2 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-82.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9feb…3022backed Yes20c289.3$58 inLost-$57.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid+373.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes20c261.85$52 inLost-$52.3775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No80c200$160 inWon+$4028873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes18c156$29 inLost-$28.781,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes18c152.43$28 inLost-$27.9629813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes20c125$25 inLost-$2519713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x297d…8941backed Yes20c116.6$23 inLost-$23.326648.5%32 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7112…ebb9backed Yes20c100$20 inLost-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d90…19a8backed Yes20c75.28$15 inLost-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…587ebacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$10825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.