TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lamine Yamal: 2+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,705 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes5c9,071$451 inLost-$451.1510819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes6c2,718$161 inLost-$16111820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…bc41backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost-$1003611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c1,321$63 inLost-$63.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No17c600.8$103 inWon+$498.0613552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xdb44…2770backed Yes5c543.48$25 inLost-$256628.8%19 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes5c515.65$24 inLost-$23.72504%2 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c59…11acbacked Yes5c492.82$25 inLost-$253112.9%4 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Yes5c434.78$20 inLost-$2020025.5%51 W · 149 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes3c432.51$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes6c330$20 inLost-$20.131,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes5c260$12 inLost-$11.9622836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x178d…797bbacked Yes5c250$12 inLost-$11.52213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick23cpaid+33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes27c186.87$50 inLost-$5020427.5%56 W · 148 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No73c176.87$130 inWon+$47.117945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11bf…b3d4backed Yes6c156.25$10 inLost-$104330.2%13 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…587ebacked Yes17c120.48$20 inLost-$20825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e7…d9bdbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x764a…9175backed Yes12c94.38$11 inLost-$114427.3%12 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x726a…196bbacked No50c30$15 inWon+$155060%30 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.