TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Alex Baena: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,692 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d02…bfecbacked No31c2,054$640 inLost-$640.41,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Yes70c1,850$1,286 inWon+$563.994746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e7…b7cebacked No1c1,756$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No31c1,151$357 inLost-$356.9537350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes68c749.99$512 inWon+$237.523251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2c…3fb4backed Yes69c508.7$351 inWon+$157.7825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e8…710fbacked Yes65c458.47$300 inWon+$158.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes67c432.41$290 inWon+$142.6914445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed No33c323.61$107 inLost-$106.793154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No33c219.43$72 inLost-$71.6317054.7%93 W · 77 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd265…82afbacked No31c209.99$65 inLost-$65.19034.4%31 W · 59 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes74c182.5$135 inWon+$47.223640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No30c170.01$51 inLost-$50.862,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No34c166.09$57 inLost-$56.5579149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a18…edebbacked Yes70c83.13$58 inWon+$25.046250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ec…1a4bbacked No33c78.48$26 inLost-$25.566366.7%42 W · 21 L+12.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9899…5d02backed Yes68c73.99$50 inWon+$23.683444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked No33c35.5$12 inLost-$11.7212750.4%64 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon+$8.9938155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5166…e902backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon+$8.99988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf2b…a7f0backed Yes69c18.84$13 inWon+$5.842450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.