TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,935 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18c4…bc41backed Yes9c1,148$100 inLost-$1003611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes9c804.6$70 inLost-$7019431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes9c287.36$25 inLost-$2511323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c2…9389backed Yes15c264.01$40 inLost-$405819%11 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes10c256.26$25 inLost-$2533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9356…5667backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$2037526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$206714.9%10 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2e…7639backed Yes10c202.99$20 inLost-$20329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…0088backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$106848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Yes9c166.67$15 inLost-$1520025.5%51 W · 149 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f9…a181backed Yes9c162.87$14 inLost-$14.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.