Fifa International · resolved market
Dani Olmo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a6fde00dd56895832f85680292db2302db99297a6188b6c76ad9c59cb376e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cbc…d177backed Yes | 0c | 13,009$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 17c | 11,111$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.87 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…f802backed Yes | 17c | 977.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 16c | 900$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…6883backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…8669backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…16b2backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 16c | 325.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Yes | 17c | 317.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 16c | 316.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…b59fbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf8…fd15backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 18c | 271.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…a1debacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…9389backed Yes | 21c | 228.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 24c | 207.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 207.06$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…9394backed Yes | 15c | 197.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 15c | 192.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…4a91backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…0e31backed Yes | 22c | 162$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…3f87backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e76…37acbacked Yes | 15c | 132$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…24cebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b4…a549backed Yes | 16c | 121.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 23c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…11debacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 281 | 64.1%180 W · 101 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…c8b3backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Yes | 16c | 82.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…e191backed Yes | 21c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…e79bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 71.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 69.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…04e2backed Yes | 16c | 66.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 16c | 66.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050a…49e4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…3fb1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…26e6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa51a…02f0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 80c | 47.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
- David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 5+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.