TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,844 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf29…e395backed Yes36c1,698$609 inLost-$608.939830.6%30 W · 68 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No65c1,031$667 inWon+$364.191,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked No62c826.98$513 inWon+$314.2519247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaba9…df0cbacked Yes11c786.64$88 inLost-$87.782650%13 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No62c400$246 inWon+$15428873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No65c266$173 inWon+$93.022,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost-$5019713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No62c130.9$81 inWon+$49.592,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c128.38$44 inLost-$43.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No65c101.99$67 inWon+$35.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost-$2517335.3%61 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes38c59.12$22 inLost-$22.472,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost-$206248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf88…fcb0backed Yes34c54.09$18 inLost-$18.391729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes34c49.99$17 inLost-$1723640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes38c40.55$15 inLost-$15.411,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed No65c31.92$21 inWon+$11.167067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde72…e386backed Yes40c30.91$12 inLost-$12.472254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No60c20$12 inWon+$89064.4%58 W · 32 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.