Fifa International · resolved market
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc257178009958c2fac63c8cd9edd7c5c5edb3e1affedc0cc0405629055da9a46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9441…98babacked Yes | 13c | 23,842$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.21 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e776backed Yes | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 12c | 1,752$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…ee0dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,090$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,049$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…c1afbacked Yes | 12c | 1,042$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked Yes | 13c | 923$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…eca4backed Yes | 14c | 903.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5f…4069backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c51…3c8fbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -76%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…debabacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 11c | 804.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 797.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…7875backed Yes | 12c | 773.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…7dacbacked Yes | 13c | 763.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…0f6bbacked Yes | 12c | 584$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a5…d3b0backed Yes | 11c | 455.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 18cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes | 12c | 415$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…fde0backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…2770backed Yes | 12c | 316.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…22a5backed Yes | 12c | 283$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…0aa5backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…3312backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…4f7bbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +227.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes | 11c | 215.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 89 | 6.7%6 W · 83 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…fb62backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3512…12b7backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…6a8ebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +159%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…9f44backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…9c54backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…c5c9backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5de…f03dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…98bebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6da…6f5dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…44d1backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…fb52backed Yes | 12c | 162.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…e073backed Yes | 12c | 158.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…5a39backed Yes | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…5516backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 14c | 126.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…50fbbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…cf81backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…0d36backed Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…3792backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…11debacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…80f0backed Yes | 13c | 112.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 62 | 1.6%1 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Yes | 18c | 110.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed Yes | 19c | 107.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 12c | 104.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…caf0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e76…37acbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 166 | 29.5%49 W · 117 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f8…17cabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…5de2backed Yes | 18c | 83.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes | 13c | 83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 153 | 25.5%39 W · 114 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…41cdbacked Yes | 19c | 51.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
- David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 5+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.