Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3317c03ccc8824f6303b229129fa2071f3991547e5d45c8ae880373da5d1a605

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $330,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $336,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,486 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	5c	79,809$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes	5c	74,217$3,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,838.73	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45e…e704backed Yes	6c	23,175$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.75	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes	7c	12,856$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes	5c	10,250$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.25	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b2…a350backed Yes	5c	6,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes	5c	5,072$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.93	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	4,916$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.07	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes	5c	4,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	9cpaid	-94.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	5c	3,750$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	60	18.3%11 W · 49 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Yes	5c	3,000$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.99	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92a2…dfd7backed Yes	5c	2,923$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+71%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb09…ee0dbacked Yes	4c	2,461$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes	5c	2,140$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	5c	2,128$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddf…0c69backed Yes	5c	2,041$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Yes	5c	2,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c51…3c8fbacked Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-76%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc05d…bcafbacked Yes	9c	1,629$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc822…a169backed Yes	10c	1,565$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.67	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes	5c	1,540$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	210	29%61 W · 149 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Yes	9c	1,500$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	5c	1,125$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.21	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes	5c	1,100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	204	27.5%56 W · 148 L	+10.2wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a8…7cffbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ad…ca63backed Yes	5c	1,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Yes	5c	688.48$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.67	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x540d…c599backed Yes	5c	622.64$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes	4c	600$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b51…2cf4backed Yes	5c	580$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11bf…b3d4backed Yes	6c	535.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Yes	5c	531.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	4c	500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb892…e046backed Yes	6c	446.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb649…e988backed Yes	6c	446.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2814…b0ccbacked Yes	5c	425.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	38.4%68 W · 109 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb44…2770backed Yes	5c	420$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b2…71b8backed Yes	5c	419.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x178d…797bbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes	6c	400$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd43…170abacked Yes	5c	393.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83f6…25b6backed Yes	5c	392.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	139	32.4%45 W · 94 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	5c	389.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…d20fbacked Yes	5c	377.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a1…d982backed Yes	5c	377.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee7…14c3backed Yes	5c	377.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf24…8ea4backed Yes	4c	374.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	29cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	5c	368.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58cc…7398backed Yes	5c	363.27$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+275.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes	6c	354$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	5.1%4 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920b…5d17backed Yes	13c	331.49$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	6c	327.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.18	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes	6c	326.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1620…f529backed Yes	5c	319.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	5c	314.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0a…2b43backed Yes	6c	310.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd469…cb79backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f79…5487backed Yes	5c	294.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a3…f232backed Yes	6c	267.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Yes	5c	230$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…f957backed No	21c	226.32$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.79	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes	5c	203.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…bdafbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	75	10.7%8 W · 67 L	-7.8wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ecf…3e98backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd511…aa30backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12cc…af5abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-62%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2afc…23c9backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4498…078dbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaeb…0440backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8693…cc0dbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd713…a342backed Yes	11c	173.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c51…bf61backed Yes	7c	158.66$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49a4…5b01backed Yes	11c	141.3$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	+144.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf83a…a85dbacked Yes	11c	98.21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x726a…196bbacked No	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+5.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsthis page
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 5+ shotsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event