TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x726a…196b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 69 out of 100 (+0.17 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 69 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5060%30 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Michael Olise: 2+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$13.6
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Manu Koné: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Jonathan David: 2+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$7.9
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$11
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3384.8%28 W · 5 L+9.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+51%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$38.34
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+99%+$19.9
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$29.01
Split: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Alexander Vasilev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$21.41
Bucaramanga: Juan Estevez vs Maxime Janvierbacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.59
Yokkaichi: Tung-Lin Wu vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$19.94
Bucaramanga: Frazier Rengifo vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$33.4
Bucaramanga: Valerio Aboian vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.2
Alicante: Ivan Gakhov vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.81
Yokkaichi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Ognjen Milicbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$5.88
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Zadar: Duje Ajdukovic vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$5.07
Miami Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Miami Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Chris Rodeschbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Nicolas Jarrybacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$16.33
Miami Open, Qualification: Caroline Dolehide vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Miami Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Martina Trevisanbacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26%+$3.11
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Leandro Riedibacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$15.13
Miami Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$31.58
Miami Open, Qualification: Yunchaokete Bu vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+97%+$12.32
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$17.14
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$97.44
Hersonissos 2: Stefan Dostanic vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+67%+$75.28
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$17.7
Counter-Strike: Acend vs CarritoSpain (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked CarritoSpain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Sinners (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$14.97
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$30.1
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.07
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$58.5
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.58
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked SportsBetExpert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked FURIA fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs DashSkins (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Atrix Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG EQUIPA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked BIG EQUIPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.75
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Counter-Strike: hindsight vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked hindsight · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.49
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.67
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$3.97
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$12.77
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.24
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$21.1
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88%+$11.53
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$12.78
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$7.93
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.1
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.05
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$11.1
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$17.31
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$8.37
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$27.51
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$59.63
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.89
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.23
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+52.7%+$19.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$41.86
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$33.79
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$48.51
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.33
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$16.19
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.58
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$20.35
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Coppin State Eagles (W)backed Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.