TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Los Angeles Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,596 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Angels34c8,032$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,320.0447447.3%224 W · 250 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Los Angeles Angels40c6,806$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085.0940846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers58c4,836$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.414953%79 W · 70 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Dodgers65c4,600$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.181,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Los Angeles Angels29c3,200$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.961030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Angels80c2,761$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.031,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Los Angeles Dodgers73c2,497$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82326245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Los Angeles Dodgers21c2,479$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6335137%130 W · 221 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers70c2,336$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6431566.7%10 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Dodgers17c2,311$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6685635.7%306 W · 550 L-24.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers31c2,019$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.442,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Los Angeles Angels75c1,998$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.03875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x027b…019cbacked Los Angeles Angels80c1,946$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.611675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Los Angeles Dodgers67c1,654$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.3820548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Los Angeles Dodgers63c1,305$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.721,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c914$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.635944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Dodgers26c777.06$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.744945.9%206 W · 243 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Los Angeles Angels28c776.62$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.1767250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Los Angeles Angels78c673.65$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers27c604.21$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.042,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Los Angeles Dodgers35c603.92$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6655541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3761…3d9dbacked Los Angeles Angels75c542.26$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Los Angeles Angels41c529.84$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6135245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c502.38$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3861652.8%325 W · 291 L+31.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf7…0505backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c406.9$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x929e…1715backed Los Angeles Dodgers8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3260%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Los Angeles Dodgers71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Los Angeles Dodgers26c378.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9937844.4%168 W · 210 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Los Angeles Angels30c366.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.676253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Los Angeles Dodgers24c312.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.637143.7%31 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Los Angeles Dodgers68c306.72$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers69c290$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.14362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers31c278.72$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7550962.9%320 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers65c249.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.192259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c243.07$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1583046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Los Angeles Angels34c233.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.914235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011134.2%38 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Angels38c220.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.761,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels46c218.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.631,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…8c4dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c217.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Los Angeles Angels68c216.84$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2133864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Dodgers25c210.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8284122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x726a…196bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c205.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.11450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Los Angeles Angels26c190$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.568846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers73c173.01$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.319848.5%96 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers71c172.04$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1541152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers8c165.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.228215.9%13 W · 69 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+71.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers64c155.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011244.6%50 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c153.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7567653.1%359 W · 317 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Los Angeles Angels50c150.34$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.879751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.056750.7%34 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Los Angeles Angels30c143$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.113442.5%57 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Los Angeles Angels40c142.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.531,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c127.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.536357.1%36 W · 27 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c121.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5711442.1%48 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Los Angeles Angels37c110.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.882548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Los Angeles Angels63c109.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.279857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Los Angeles Angels41c104.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8217050%85 W · 85 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Los Angeles Angels76c102.81$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.768154.3%44 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Los Angeles Angels39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Los Angeles Dodgers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17419.8%4 W · 37 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-62.6%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Los Angeles Angels41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5927248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c90.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.558247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Los Angeles Angels40c89.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+78.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Los Angeles Angels28c85.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.053348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Los Angeles Angels41c81.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.168355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Los Angeles Dodgers73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.811256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb902…10c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c59.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268948.3%43 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers68c58.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x281e…472bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c56.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.784,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Los Angeles Angels41c55.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.916850%34 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Los Angeles Angels71c54.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.651030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Los Angeles Angels28c54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.110353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b9f…1661backed Los Angeles Dodgers67c52.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers40c49.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81,92817.2%331 W · 1,597 L-320.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Los Angeles Angels37c48.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Los Angeles Angels51c47.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.494757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Los Angeles Angels63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6563454.3%344 W · 290 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Los Angeles Angels28c44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.87750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x304e…9ce6backed Los Angeles Dodgers69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f71…9a06backed Los Angeles Dodgers72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613453.7%72 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Los Angeles Angels40c37.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3548…14dabacked Los Angeles Dodgers62c30.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c27.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.017451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1029…9b36backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c24.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…0b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c21.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Los Angeles Dodgers71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ed…a6c8backed Los Angeles Dodgers78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…f506backed Los Angeles Dodgers72c19.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe07f…08d6backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c19.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3094…8d42backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c18.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…eb03backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c17.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c15.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.698350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.