TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x700f…a69b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT6357.1%36 W · 27 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.06
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.31
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.66
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$71.34
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$55.05
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$80.59
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$49.11
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$81.18
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.34
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.96
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$69.42
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.13
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.22
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$91.67
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$23.09
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.36
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$64.97
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.31
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will Egypt win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$34.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$131.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$6.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.