TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over50c88,623$44,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,364.853342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c40,427$21,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,011.714,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c22,339$10,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,616.169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over52c22,178$11,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,532.4510450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c14,986$7,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,533.982,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8b…11cabacked Over50c6,951$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over17c6,380$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.335330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c5,495$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.981,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Over53c3,667$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.6850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c3,577$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.1422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under51c3,400$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6663540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under51c2,776$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,391$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.671,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under49c2,300$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.975253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c2,185$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.453,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under47c2,056$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under50c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.977553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c1,863$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.722040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under47c1,677$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.047561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under51c1,634$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.8622758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc559…9614backed Over54c1,539$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Under50c1,384$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Over49c1,357$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.761154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under73c1,344$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.965166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under48c1,259$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.913351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under48c1,229$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.173847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over52c1,226$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.3612650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,073$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.0964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c977.39$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.3720360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48520159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under50c921.12$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.4317659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under53c882.1$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.524254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over51c876.04$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2111444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over54c811.46$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.63540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under50c803.86$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9730749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under49c749.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38010168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under50c740.28$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3211266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over32c666.21$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.38732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over53c641.75$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1311929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.864062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c604$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over51c542.52$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8613230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over53c520.88$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.079634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over8c510.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.823534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Over22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.991338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under59c496.67$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.265172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c496.06$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.71,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.53873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c458.96$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.175959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c413.76$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1513054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Over53c399.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.992045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c389.36$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.783743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5c4…9a90backed Over53c388.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under52c373.53$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under50c370$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1854755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under56c369.1$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.47850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3611037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under51c358.15$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4912964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c350$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c345.6$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.811853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Under48c343.12$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.421040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7417128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Under47c322.41$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over34c311.51$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.781,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under61c296.51$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.335671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over54c289.92$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.568641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d41…f237backed Under51c288.05$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed Under47c287.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8620148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c262.3$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5241147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over45c251.66$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.94440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c236$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c228.89$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.975451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Under48c227.92$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under49c213.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.859244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Over53c211.85$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.289237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under51c209.53$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6516456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under51c209.53$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6517856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.952152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over53c201.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.95743.9%25 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe689…b81abacked Over53c201.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed Under47c196.77$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under49c196.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3610957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over52c194.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under50c193.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9933161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2510464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c184.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.111,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.188041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Under63c183.18$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.393470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c180.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over10c179.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.978439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.