La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x630b033e57b691f3ac4efccd34c3ec25dc1e57edbfe823b9426797cf2f4751b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 2,165$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.72 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 14c | 1,988$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.53 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 25c | 1,870$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 11c | 989.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 70c | 815.45$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 31c | 464.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 70c | 432.08$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 71c | 417$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 331.9$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 281.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 78c | 278.89$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 30c | 260.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 28c | 259.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 69c | 178.07$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 28c | 175.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 28c | 163.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 28c | 163.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 28c | 161.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 28c | 159.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 28c | 159.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 31c | 108.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Over | 23c | 100.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 27c | 88.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Over | 27c | 88.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 27c | 88.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 27c | 83.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 27c | 83.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Under | 72c | 81.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 31c | 64.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 70c | 59.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 31c | 55.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 73c | 51.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 29c | 46.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 72c | 42.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed Under | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d65…c693backed Under | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Under | 72c | 32.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 72c | 28.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Under | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 73c | 24.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 78c | 23.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…8825backed Under | 70c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 73c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…9f69backed Under | 71c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 73c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 73c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 73c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 73c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 73c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 69c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Under | 73c | 15.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 69c | 15.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 73c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 77c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.