La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e137fe5bb815336011bd33916d269f99cd76b57192ed9c42ca6c8078b4c21e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elche CFof Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, Elche CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elche CF | 64c | 14,637$9,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253.36 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 39c | 12,592$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.17 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 32c | 5,841$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.31 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elche CF | 63c | 4,933$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.27 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 32c | 3,005$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 29c | 1,570$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.43 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 30c | 1,311$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.32 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Elche CF | 62c | 1,292$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.33 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 40c | 1,285$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.71 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Elche CF | 68c | 953.53$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.91 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Elche CF | 70c | 862$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Elche CF | 57c | 527.57$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Elche CF | 68c | 436.9$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Elche CF | 68c | 420$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Elche CF | 71c | 414.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Elche CF | 71c | 397.37$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Elche CF | 68c | 370$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Elche CF | 68c | 361.92$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Elche CF | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Elche CF | 71c | 322.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Elche CF | 68c | 311.94$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Elche CF | 70c | 311.6$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 37c | 265.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 33c | 261.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Elche CF | 69c | 241.13$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 30c | 239.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Elche CF | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elche CF | 68c | 129.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Elche CF | 71c | 122.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 27c | 114.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elche CF | 63c | 102.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Elche CF | 70c | 93.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Elche CF | 70c | 87.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 30c | 80.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Elche CF | 70c | 68.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Elche CF | 63c | 63.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 31c | 62.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 37c | 60.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Elche CF | 71c | 59.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Elche CF | 70c | 55.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 29c | 38.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Elche CF | 69c | 31.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Elche CF | 65c | 30.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elche CF | 69c | 28.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Elche CF | 68c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Elche CF | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Elche CF | 63c | 23.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Elche CF | 70c | 18.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Elche CF | 71c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Elche CF | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Elche CF | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Elche CF | 70c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.