TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd9b…64ffbacked Under24c20,137$4,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,313.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+317.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over25c4,696$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.833831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over24c4,060$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.895330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c3,985$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.214,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over77c3,884$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.954465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over32c3,497$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.8510736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over76c3,463$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.232,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under47c3,191$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.126858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over43c2,240$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.874235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over76c1,934$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.321,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c1,530$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.123,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Under46c1,523$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over69c1,423$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.198252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over77c1,354$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.929244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Under48c1,353$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3066…2993backed Under67c1,116$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over23c1,048$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.852828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under75c986.89$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.212665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over55c896.08$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.846848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c4…9a90backed Over43c799.98$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over77c771.68$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.613263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over76c723.68$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55013551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under70c696.03$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.814057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over60c604.83$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.8722455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under33c600.68$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.854440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over76c595.55$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.8820360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over56c565.57$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.723655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38020252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bc…1523backed Over28c492.86$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.56540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under31c489.18$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3813230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under78c446.32$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.684971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over55c399.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9916745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over79c377.16$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.139071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c360.59$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.222357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under60c348.35$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.785172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Under24c338.51$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.571631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over78c310.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2319662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over43c297.04$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5128446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c288.68$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.043253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over76c279.98$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7815952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.15143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7775…9a4ebacked Under70c266.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over76c261.26$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5675451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c258.39$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.381,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over76c256.09$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over52c251.69$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.016750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Under61c249.72$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.113164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over74c246.19$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0317466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over76c243.78$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2712964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.521520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under26c221.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2622448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646a…7eb2backed Over56c217.32$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Over56c208.89$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x455c…1c25backed Over56c208.65$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over23c207.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.695343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87df…48f3backed Over63c201.77$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc5…ada3backed Over77c199.2$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.395650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5cf…3f01backed Over54c198.08$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c196.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.455056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over77c191.48$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9511651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9a…2357backed Over55c190.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c190.1$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.591,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over77c183.78$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.512669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under46c183$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.829336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over36c177.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.458439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Over55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.35052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over57c171.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.486982.6%57 W · 12 L+15.0wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Under69c142.37$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa02b…e764backed Under49c134.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over48c134.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over47c134.27$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.565036%18 W · 32 L-8.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over56c131.85$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.354178%32 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c129.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over77c128.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.610957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over77c128.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6213668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over78c126.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.681250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over53c119.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1711046.4%51 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under26c119.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2789050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over76c117.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3369750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over77c113.1$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9222760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc56…77cdbacked Over67c112$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Under59c110.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.73369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.356852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over76c105.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.234959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1d…b628backed Over77c103.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under27c103.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.551,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967e…2fb6backed Under24c99.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Over76c99.42$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.561250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Under57c99.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.33470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over70c98.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over20c95.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.757852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under43c89.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.226645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under23c88.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.932645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over40c79.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over77c76.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.185156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Under25c76.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.36526.2%17 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under45c71.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2519260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under45c71.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2517659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.