La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe757d93df22e613c54706e86330c3aa7a4f9eb4b3a644a7e4ef46663b9d92415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rayo Vallecano de Madridof Elche CF, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Elche CF | 8c | 1,491$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…35a1backed Elche CF | 6c | 788$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942a…c9c2backed Elche CF | 6c | 760$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…8f95backed Elche CF | 6c | 759$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…61cdbacked Elche CF | 6c | 747$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…f142backed Elche CF | 6c | 703$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…1a1cbacked Elche CF | 6c | 628$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7f…2aa6backed Elche CF | 6c | 611$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…c3c0backed Elche CF | 6c | 587$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e8…1361backed Elche CF | 6c | 574$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…1b57backed Elche CF | 6c | 544$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…cd9abacked Elche CF | 6c | 536$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…7c20backed Elche CF | 6c | 533$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…8203backed Elche CF | 6c | 531$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…f9c8backed Elche CF | 6c | 493$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…2082backed Elche CF | 6c | 474$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…4393backed Elche CF | 6c | 461$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc4…c319backed Elche CF | 6c | 431$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…8e62backed Elche CF | 6c | 423$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Elche CF | 8c | 330.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…9b3abacked Elche CF | 6c | 310$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Elche CF | 5c | 215.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.