TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x51c9…8825

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$28.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$41.41
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$45.01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.57
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$29.42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$186.53
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$9.24
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$13.76
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39%+$41
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+165.1%+$214.65
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.33
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$38.46
Nets vs. Kings: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.84
Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$21.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.22
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.3
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26%+$19.49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$18.61
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+128.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$32.82
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$10.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$4.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.