Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd36cc61063d2d70f7630da9b9bc5331b8b1ef6b4f14ece92a6cada14f0c00a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 9c | 6,551$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.07 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 4,707$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 15c | 3,700$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.64 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 1c | 2,570$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 72c | 2,070$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.92 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,992$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 15c | 1,715$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.65 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 1c | 1,310$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 30c | 1,003$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 916.39$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.08 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Over | 16c | 739.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Over | 11c | 688.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 684.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 21c | 518.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Under | 78c | 451.36$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 25c | 444.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 68c | 400.4$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 70c | 386.13$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 363.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Over | 6c | 353.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Over | 18c | 343.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 80c | 290.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 80c | 290.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 80c | 252.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 34c | 252$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 23c | 229.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Over | 19c | 201.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 175.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 16c | 160.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 22c | 146.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 144.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 69c | 144.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 74c | 129.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 32c | 129$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 78c | 127.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 33c | 123.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 76c | 118.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bfdcbacked Over | 25c | 115.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 25c | 99.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 31c | 90.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Over | 17c | 86.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Under | 77c | 85.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 83.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Over | 24c | 80.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 79c | 79.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 22c | 76.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 72c | 70.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 28c | 69.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 28c | 65.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 63.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 77c | 59.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 67c | 54.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 72c | 53.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Over | 25c | 51.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 80c | 50.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Over | 33c | 48.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed Over | 34c | 44.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Under | 80c | 40.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 72c | 34.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d53…2735backed Under | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 78c | 32.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 32c | 31.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Under | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0d…bea7backed Under | 73c | 26.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 71c | 20.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 67c | 20.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…8825backed Under | 75c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 76c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.