Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x927209dfa39e8489e1c3597a3b2b37276588a43e5ad4bbb64d3bd552dd10cabe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Millwall FCof Middlesbrough FC, Millwall FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Millwall FC | 75c | 999.75$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 415.36$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Middlesbrough FC | 47c | 296.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Middlesbrough FC | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Millwall FC | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Middlesbrough FC | 32c | 165.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Millwall FC | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 142.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Millwall FC | 66c | 118.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Middlesbrough FC | 47c | 117.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed Middlesbrough FC | 45c | 89.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Millwall FC | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Millwall FC | 57c | 45.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…2209backed Millwall FC | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Millwall FC | 68c | 39.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 36.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Millwall FC | 68c | 30.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Millwall FC | 48c | 25.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.