TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over43c5,804$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.631735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c5,304$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Under49c3,174$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c2,215$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over55c2,118$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.082948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over45c2,080$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c1,996$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.794,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c1,569$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.51,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.459446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over53c1,321$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.759550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,138$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.38933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under41c1,106$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.599113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over37c1,077$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.149373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c1,006$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0617161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0a…8521backed Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c970.22$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.831,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over53c944.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44514138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over57c886.57$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.314463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over51c874.29$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.292580%20 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c728.79$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.452,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over72c569.63$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.084470.5%31 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under51c549.32$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.323056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5410579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over37c533.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.438375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10303.3%1 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-93.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under47c477.87$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.610234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under50c465.09$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4416757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c445.45$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0323556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c428.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8313347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over48c417.35$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.071457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c387.73$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.479752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc559…9614backed Over63c366$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under55c343.68$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.269058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under30c334.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.057037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over55c285.85$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.632334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Under60c278.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.255060%30 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Under51c269.08$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under50c254.83$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3711055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c233$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over50c224.04$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.847758.4%45 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c215.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.641,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over48c214.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8419356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under44c213.66$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5613748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0828633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over53c203.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.612549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Over49c194.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c193.12$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.561,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under59c185.69$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.725147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under45c185$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.255068%34 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443852.6%20 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over66c175.18$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.565056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over63c174.31$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.994658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ea7…2b51backed Under30c172.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over58c172$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.244555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c159.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.511,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under51c158.39$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under42c158.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7910547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c157.24$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.328859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over64c156.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.676451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under44c155.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.151,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under61c150.16$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.14254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under44c147.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.581,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under54c144.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.634562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over55c139.39$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.399339.8%37 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0811229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under39c130.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c112.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8916753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under55c112.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8910861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under44c110.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1532345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2935347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under47c105.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.513644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c104.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0969851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…3d96backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under54c103.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.495457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under56c100.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.283262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed Under40c96.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over53c93.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8610361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5911053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over63c92.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.063357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2911969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15f1…a292backed Under55c85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…dbc0backed Over59c78.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Under50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d6…fa72backed Over65c71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over47c62.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.024042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over51c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3812450.8%63 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3812251.6%63 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Under62c61.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.022871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Over69c59.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c58.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4630057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe81…0dbcbacked Over49c58.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over44c56.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.812560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.