Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50069fb3254ff741622a2f426724226944eb7e290c6a85eff4d8118c298b1602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 56c | 1,236$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.53 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed No | 46c | 1,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 50c | 633.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.96 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 3c | 599.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 487.78$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.62 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 42c | 474.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.83 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 392.63$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.94 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 59c | 378.55$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 42c | 240.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 103 | 78.6%81 W · 22 L | +22.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 45c | 238.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed No | 47c | 213.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 52c | 209.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 54c | 199.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed No | 61c | 195.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 68c | 193.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.4wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 56c | 90.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 54c | 82.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 46c | 79.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 75.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 44c | 70.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 34c | 64.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 33c | 62.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 56c | 53.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed No | 55c | 51.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Yes | 47c | 49.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 46c | 41.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 55c | 31.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 31.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 38c | 27.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755b…c042backed No | 45c | 23.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 48c | 23.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 50c | 21.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…7ff6backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 56c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.