Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c14f73697640acfdfe663d8a6a570949bdb83c5d3b5b2cc4cc5fa3a43d034fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Under | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 987.46$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 764.05$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 750.59$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 20c | 657.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 77c | 599.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 80c | 429.49$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 79c | 413.21$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 79c | 396.4$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Under | 19c | 394.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 76c | 393.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 18c | 300.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 281.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 76c | 265.3$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 76c | 261.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…8f5abacked Over | 77c | 213.73$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…499dbacked Under | 23c | 213.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 213.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 25c | 202.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 71c | 195.61$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 21c | 182.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 179.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 19c | 155.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 153.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 150.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 80c | 125.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 23c | 107.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…f09dbacked Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 76c | 83.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 24c | 62.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 26c | 60.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bfdcbacked Under | 19c | 56.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…9e4ebacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…6c32backed Over | 79c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Over | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 75c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Over | 71c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 74c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.