TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe57c…b99b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Weather, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.06
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.39
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.79
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.44
Spread: Slovakia (-1.5)backed Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.49
Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.98
Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.78
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.12
Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.13
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.32
Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.33
Brazil vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.4
Poland vs. Albania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.23
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.35
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.57
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.16
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.45
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+118%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+170.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.21
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.44
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.98
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick77cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.67
Will PSV win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.51
FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+142.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$5.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.