TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Poland vs. Albania: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Over66c10,142$6,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under32c6,419$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.3436850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c5,828$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under34c4,727$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.331,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over69c1,798$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.392755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.084266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over70c1,676$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.972958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over70c1,430$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.092661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under32c1,199$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.686454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32021444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under33c919.76$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.972,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under31c887.95$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.2688838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under33c843.21$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27515448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under35c733.38$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over69c728.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.862744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.775139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under48c480.77$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.77944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over68c459$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8813643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under35c404.09$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under32c384.55$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7424653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under33c328.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under32c326.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.625554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under31c325.71$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.735530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under32c325.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.044,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under33c304.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…feedbacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under60c301.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under34c294.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over72c277.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2620067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under32c265.23$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5423749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under30c238.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3912254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fe…4a5bbacked Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c190$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.91,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Under33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.512128.1%34 W · 87 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.935639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.937954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under32c142.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5214948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over79c126.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.657350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb87…a64bbacked Over68c121.65$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over68c121.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.231,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Under33c119.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.34353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over66c113.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.648734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c112.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.842,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd39…600cbacked Over68c110$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.25100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over69c108.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339843.9%43 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2219958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3115945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Under32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Over59c93.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.33754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.594245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under31c88.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.523357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over68c81.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under34c74.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4611447.4%54 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under30c72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.632356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over70c71.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.569759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Under35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.033836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over66c65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.358354.2%45 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9da…f7d9backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…d6c6backed Under34c54.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.761225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x041c…73a3backed Under32c53.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123665.3%154 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…7379backed Under34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4c…5c55backed Over66c49.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a05…7757backed Under33c48.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.232025%5 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf70…df6cbacked Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Over66c45.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ce…61cbbacked Over72c44.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under32c42.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.373250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57c…b99bbacked Over59c42.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.232356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over69c39.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.297857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under34c37.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.734144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over68c36.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7811658.6%68 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under33c36.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7823751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Over78c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.72774.1%20 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over59c34.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2910351.5%53 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over59c34.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.071546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over65c33.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…0d49backed Over59c31.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.051369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107634.2%26 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7b7…d4fcbacked Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f9…cec5backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over74c26.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.026471.9%46 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Over68c23.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.627052.9%37 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over67c22.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4218139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over65c21.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.412748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Over68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.410265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.