TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Poland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,059 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc699…7961backed Over43c5,814$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.953928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c3,164$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over42c3,004$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.3730431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over43c2,526$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.793855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c2,171$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.511,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over39c2,095$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.729154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under58c1,863$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.3336850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under58c1,721$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.094537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c1,519$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.221,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over40c1,008$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.955530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Under61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6107055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78fc…8c88backed Under2c874.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002835.7%10 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under60c822.91$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.416349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Under70c717.32$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under58c520$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under59c500$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.11735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23522846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1912254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under61c435.36$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5450850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over40c409.15$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.158734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over28c333$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7613830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under59c318.86$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1723749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over32c304.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.987830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under69c300.08$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1711759.8%70 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17710550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under59c280.12$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over40c250.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0815448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Under61c200.95$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.582231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under58c199.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under59c192.45$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5510254.9%56 W · 46 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c183.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.684753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over53c180.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1935036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under58c173.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under63c170.01$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c167.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.241,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Under60c166.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013951.8%72 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under61c163.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under50c158$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7932356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2511221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over33c152.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.862343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.516656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over39c148.17$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.682,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under58c142$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.362839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over42c140$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.213643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.956240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.619723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over38c112.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over39c105$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.053357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over39c101.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8711060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Over40c100.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.555850%29 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under68c100.86$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9386455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5815945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under60c93.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.989842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under59c85.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.431,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc92b…aa18backed Over59c84.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over40c80.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9825554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under61c78.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.952352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Under64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under58c73.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.434245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over39c69.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5311658.6%68 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Over40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.55657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Over40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.57050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under61c61.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over34c59.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.912,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over42c59.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Under62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Over42c55.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.833652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over42c53.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.747640.8%31 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over59c51.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1310868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.54936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over41c48.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.224025%10 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over42c47.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb7…a3f7backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over41c46.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.364751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbd…3eebbacked Over42c43.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over35c43.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e0…fe12backed Under59c42.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under59c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.781,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd2…5e03backed Over42c41.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over36c41.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.442,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Over40c40.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.13844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under64c38.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Under57c36.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.747052.9%37 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Over40c34.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under62c33.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0217553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Under59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under60c33.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.