Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9de7d489c6fca7704dfcd521f52d9ebda9b5f61b84bb8a771379aa6c7669a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 52c | 854.87$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 5c | 425.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 51c | 297.75$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 46c | 285$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 46c | 207.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 53c | 188.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 179.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked No | 11c | 176.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 165.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 37c | 146.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 72c | 137.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 57c | 136.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 29c | 136.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 54c | 128.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 42c | 112.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 63c | 111.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 41c | 108.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 108.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 52c | 104.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 44c | 100.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 49c | 91.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 49c | 74.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 69.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 51c | 67.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed Yes | 48c | 60.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab36…38dabacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 22c | 58.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 41c | 57.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 49c | 56.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 54c | 56.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 51c | 55.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 48c | 51.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 49c | 51.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…b752backed No | 51c | 48.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 23c | 45.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 46c | 40.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…498dbacked Yes | 52c | 39.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Yes | 52c | 38.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 50c | 36.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 54c | 36.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…2ff3backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 34.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…18a8backed No | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 43c | 33.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 52c | 32.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 58c | 31.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 52c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 50c | 29.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed No | 48c | 29.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 51c | 27.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 27.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…6befbacked Yes | 56c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed No | 47c | 25.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…2e9fbacked Yes | 49c | 25.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 49c | 25.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…1ff4backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 54c | 24.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…a323backed No | 60c | 24.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…db39backed No | 48c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +337.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 54c | 23.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…68b5backed No | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…3666backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 77c | 20.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65f…6bf1backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…9a6abacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 60c | 19.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed No | 56c | 18.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.