Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x561cfc63f5826783c6888bae73d74e4d5b23df3fc0423e052b70e4c9bbdc039a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 498.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed No | 69c | 399.83$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 25c | 381.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 47c | 315.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 27c | 289.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 77c | 281.61$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 258.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Yes | 21c | 240.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 72c | 215.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 25c | 198.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 78c | 192.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 188.53$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 165.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 23c | 157$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 146.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked Yes | 31c | 144.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 28c | 130.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 25c | 116.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 22c | 112.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 75c | 108.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 108.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 64c | 101.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 29c | 100.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 68c | 95.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…d97cbacked Yes | 22c | 93.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 65c | 89.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 30c | 88.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 25c | 83.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 76c | 82.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 66c | 82.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 73c | 81.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 80.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…a35dbacked Yes | 33c | 75.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 71c | 74.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 78c | 74.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…09fabacked Yes | 22c | 73.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 221 | 25.3%56 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 21c | 73.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 74c | 72.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 63c | 68.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 67.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 65c | 66.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 74c | 62.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 62.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 75c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked No | 78c | 57.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…e7b2backed Yes | 23c | 55.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked Yes | 29c | 50.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 40c | 50.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 62c | 50.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 32c | 49.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 25c | 48.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 73c | 48.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 31c | 44.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…6befbacked Yes | 36c | 41.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…9424backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 59c | 41.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…498dbacked Yes | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…b752backed No | 71c | 35.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 55c | 30.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 62c | 26.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 79c | 25.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed No | 77c | 25.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 77c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 74c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 76c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…a523backed No | 79c | 19.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 71c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 68c | 18.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 75c | 15.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 80c | 15.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c000backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.