TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes56c3,946$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.0310636.8%39 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c3,708$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.274,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes11c3,371$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Yes37c1,280$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c1,105$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.2650249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…7695backed Yes38c982.06$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.18825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No56c921.44$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.431643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c875.87$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.621,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No44c830.43$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.0413645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes56c565.04$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4216160.9%98 W · 63 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No44c554.59$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.576160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.089833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes11c473.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.067719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No77c368.03$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7341351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No45c367.28$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4815851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c292.32$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3569350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes52c289.49$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.544645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes42c277.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.025724.6%14 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes55c265.36$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.954153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes9c264.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5961557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked No49c236.71$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.362948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8a…5391backed No72c219.45$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked No47c207.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.981526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4277…3154backed Yes53c201.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.881656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11275051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes27c199.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9911819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ac…4025backed Yes28c179.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No44c165$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No47c159.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes16c148.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.747231.9%23 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c137.71$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.342,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes29c134.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1810127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes50c129.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.514245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No46c109.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.86940.6%28 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed No73c107.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.112552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Yes49c105.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.461471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.995244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes54c97.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8816142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes56c97.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.529154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed No47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.312326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No44c96.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6622658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5312951.2%66 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes52c92.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1547653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes56c88.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.545738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes56c88.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.484257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No45c84.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.48353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes40c84.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8330842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes32c81.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2528138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.873946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Yes37c74.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.512955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes49c73.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.163865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No72c71.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2624344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes21c63.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.274942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed No46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+93.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes34c56.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0237348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed No45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.553447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Yes55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.192147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ce…2414backed Yes55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.192458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…323abacked Yes37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.242429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.227958.2%46 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a85…1811backed Yes55c48.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.762441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57c…b99bbacked Yes50c48.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed No45c42.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.122934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb09a…7fc7backed No46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd5…a3a2backed No49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No50c36.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5610851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes53c36.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes53c36.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.386660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes53c36.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.388055%44 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes53c36.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.387861.5%48 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes53c36.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3822456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes53c36.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3823456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c36.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.271,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No47c35.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8563757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4611657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Yes57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.486968.1%47 W · 22 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Yes57c33.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.213839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed No44c33.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.773441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No51c33.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3120050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes54c32.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8148251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed No45c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7320341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.320253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No45c29.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes53c29.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4511546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf875…256cbacked Yes52c29.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.151435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c08…0d49backed Yes51c29.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9c…6999backed Yes52c28.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5613057.7%75 W · 55 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes53c27.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8424048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c12…3d74backed Yes47c26.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.623438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a69…ae84backed Yes55c26.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No53c26.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2426154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c4…6678backed No74c22.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c21.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes53c21.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4611959.7%71 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b2…c115backed Yes52c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.