TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5522…7695

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10463.5%66 W · 38 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States to score first vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.21
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.41
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.92
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.93
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Ecuador to score first vs. Mexico?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.9
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.69
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$141.67
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Japan to score first vs. Brazil?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.41
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.33
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.62
South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.17
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT7650%38 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$262.14
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$247.25
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.88
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60.56
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$121.39
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.37
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$119.57
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.46
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$120.77
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.37
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$115.59
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.21
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.28
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.16
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.25
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$247.76
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.29
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.97
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$210.48
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$419.34
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$415.15
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$55.23
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$228.37
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$7.31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$18.56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$90.75
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $81 Week of May 4 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$25.58
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 27 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.27
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of April 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.87
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+87.9%+$101.52
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.99
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+41.6%+$45.53
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.18
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$83.85
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+140.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$29.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.