Fifa International · resolved market
Japan to score first vs. Brazil?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x579d7da9cbc20005363acd4b5e480f852b1156c579a60a6158a1acf5d5a02040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 18,000$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 0c | 17,420$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 5,862$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.86 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 32c | 4,594$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.05 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 1c | 4,508$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 67c | 3,706$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.38 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 32c | 3,018$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.35 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 30c | 2,191$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.99 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 2,022$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.87 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.69 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 1,754$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.16 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 1,665$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.33 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…af78backed No | 15c | 1,400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 69c | 991.02$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.52 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 13c | 899.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…621cbacked No | 17c | 749.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…bcd5backed No | 15c | 728$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed No | 16c | 706.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +525.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 30c | 661.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.29 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 653.98$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.23 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…3745backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 69c | 494.84$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.44 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 68c | 480.28$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.41 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 17c | 477.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 70c | 474.97$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.48 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed Yes | 29c | 442.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.4 | 150 | 40.7%61 W · 89 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 70c | 405.77$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.04 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 59c | 384.41$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.66 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed No | 20c | 376.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 68c | 351.72$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…08f7backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 33c | 303.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…fb07backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…1885backed Yes | 34c | 290.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.42 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…beecbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 257.13$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 222.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed No | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 37c | 186.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0907…baddbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f9…1d2fbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a77…2535backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…55fcbacked Yes | 30c | 162.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…1ad2backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 68c | 150.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 138.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…62b2backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…5596backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 67c | 130.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…257bbacked Yes | 30c | 129.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 66c | 128.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…8cd8backed Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…eac8backed Yes | 29c | 106.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 69c | 97.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Yes | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…0bcebacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…d036backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6e64backed Yes | 29c | 86.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…ec0ebacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8386backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 69c | 79.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 32c | 67.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…9c54backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…7239backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4856…86debacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 62.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…e2a2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045b…9ab6backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…fe3abacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…3990backed Yes | 30c | 59.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…588fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 64c | 56.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb199…5145backed Yes | 36c | 55.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…96c1backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 57c | 52.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…7083backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8543backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…7b63backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…1dd4backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 47.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…089cbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan to score first vs. Brazil?this page
- Brazil to score first vs. Japan?No won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.