TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x19b3…7239

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
France to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+362%+$325.81
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$67.37
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Australia vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Ecuador to score first vs. Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Japan to score first vs. Brazil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+255.9%+$102.35
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 24 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$81.59
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+105.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.