Fifa International · resolved market
France to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca9dde22f3fa88b696c74cc3402d21c6d2808aaa89ca31b9f5cc05b60d33bdbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 27,030$14,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,792.04 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 47c | 21,850$10,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,479.3 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…d5a5backed No | 53c | 20,002$10,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,553.21 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 47c | 17,366$8,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,230.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 54c | 14,324$7,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,707.23 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed No | 51c | 12,480$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,364.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 8,181$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 47c | 6,986$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.57 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 51c | 6,027$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.54 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed No | 12c | 5,976$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.91 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 5,501$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.12 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 59c | 3,909$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 79c | 3,769$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.52 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 53c | 3,679$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.4 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked No | 6c | 2,206$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e7…48d5backed Yes | 58c | 2,200$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.72 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e9…30d8backed No | 50c | 2,003$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Yes | 51c | 1,881$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.31 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Yes | 52c | 1,679$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.95 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 58c | 1,631$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.06 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 46c | 1,609$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.41 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 1,420$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 57c | 1,341$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.8 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…df44backed No | 43c | 1,179$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 47c | 874.92$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.54 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…861abacked Yes | 53c | 862.56$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.56 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yes | 44c | 848.2$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.15 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 54c | 810$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.2 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…56eabacked Yes | 51c | 779.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.94 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 55c | 710$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 15c | 690.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 31c | 645.05$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 54c | 585$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.9 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 49c | 557.3$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 551.3$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.29 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 549.97$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 541.55$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.65 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 70c | 531.07$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.93 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked No | 53c | 495.19$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 479.33$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 54c | 470.05$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked No | 53c | 460$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 55c | 450.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.41 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 72c | 430.37$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Yes | 48c | 410.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 54c | 354.87$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 54c | 320.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…89cabacked Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed No | 9c | 274.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 55c | 265.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…0a39backed Yes | 50c | 258.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 54c | 232.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…a258backed Yes | 80c | 204$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 52c | 170.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Yes | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 54c | 167.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 43c | 162.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 53c | 138.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 58c | 120.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ce…5bfebacked No | 55c | 103.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 50c | 102.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 54c | 101$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…0296backed Yes | 53c | 94.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1a…afcdbacked Yes | 51c | 93.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 12c | 90.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2e…2ebfbacked Yes | 51c | 89.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c6…ad4bbacked No | 45c | 87.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 46c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 28c | 84.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed No | 12c | 83.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 54c | 73.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed No | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…7239backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…5aa3backed Yes | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f7f8backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 49c | 54.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 48c | 52.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 53c | 52.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 55c | 51.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 35c | 39.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 48c | 36.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 55c | 34.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to win the second half?this page
- England to win the second half?No won
- France vs. England: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.