Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. England: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca5d9b3c990fea4a1ebb365af8a4dc619661f35b7bf40a672342065c279a1653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 6,578$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 76c | 6,026$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.5 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 24c | 5,289$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.4 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 4,482$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 10c | 4,076$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.37 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…7311backed Yes | 1c | 2,531$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…270fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,214$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 32c | 1,159$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 990$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…074bbacked Yes | 1c | 910$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked No | 75c | 848.33$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 3c | 690$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 4c | 658.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 76c | 557.3$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 68c | 550$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 32c | 515.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 68c | 451$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 359.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 68c | 342.82$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe623…9800backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…84fcbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…2a4dbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…9884backed Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 216.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…4ca0backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 6c | 199.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 68c | 192.64$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779c…b96fbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…5586backed Yes | 27c | 176.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed Yes | 25c | 168$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 79c | 157.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 28c | 147$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 73c | 144.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4e…b527backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 31c | 121$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…44d1backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…2b98backed Yes | 27c | 117.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ce…5bfebacked No | 69c | 111.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 20c | 99.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 55c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 79c | 86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 30c | 76.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…bdedbacked Yes | 32c | 74.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 79c | 73.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 71c | 69.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 69c | 64.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…5aa3backed Yes | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…6cd7backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 45.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed No | 68c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 69c | 19.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. England: Second half draw?this page
- England to win the second half?No won
- France to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.