TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35f5…d7c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$23.71
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$12.15
Will Rodri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$6.17
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$60.11
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$8.72
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.93
Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$12.36
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$20.16
Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.63
Spain to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$10.54
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.16
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Pedro Porro: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$14.41
Pedro Porro: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$6.64
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$10.08
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Cucurella: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$13.38
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$7.14
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$39.02
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$6.59
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+230.2%+$41.83
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$16.91
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Nemiga (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.24
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$15.16
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$13.11
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Abacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$13.79
Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Prospect (+1.5)backed INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$11.19
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Dbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$6.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kerala Cricket League T20: Alleppey Ripples vs Aries Kollam Sailorsbacked Aries Kollam Sailors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$13.99
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$10.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.